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Will U3 be 4.2% AND NFP growth be 50-99k for Oct 2026?

If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes. 86 opinions, 85% No

  • Yes — 15%
  • No — 85%

Deadline: November 6, 2026 at 01:29 PM UTC · 86 opinions

Resolution rules

If ALL of the following occur for Oct 2026: U3: 4.2%, NFP growth: 50-99k, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.

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