Crypto · Open for opinions
Will Polymarket US's share exceed 50% of the platform's global volume by October 31, 2026?
Polymarket US's share jumped from 4% in January to 39% in July 2026 under CFTC regulation [1]. 76 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket US's share jumped from 4% in January to 39% in July 2026 under CFTC regulation [1].
Source: www.ccn.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 03/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o segmento Polymarket US registrar participação igual ou superior a 50% do volume global total da Polymarket no consolidado de outubro de 2026, conforme The Block Research ou comunicado da exchange até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.