Finance · Open for opinions
Which prediction market platform will have the highest trading volume in the US midterm elections in November 2026?
Kalshi and Polymarket compete for dominance in US election prediction markets. 21 opinions, 33% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 33%
- Polymarket — 33%
- Another platform — 33%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket compete for dominance in US election prediction markets. Fortune and the Washington Post highlight that the 2026 elections could be a turning point for the sector.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no volume total negociado (em dólares) em contratos relacionados às eleições de meio de mandato dos EUA, divulgado pelas próprias plataformas ou por relatórios públicos verificáveis até 15/11/2026. A plataforma com maior volume declarado vence.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.