Finance · Open for opinions
Will the 10-year US Treasury yield exceed 5.40% by the end of December 2026?
On October 20, 2026, the 10-year US Treasury yield hit 5.135%, driven by global inflationary fears and mixed earnings results from… 81 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
On October 20, 2026, the 10-year US Treasury yield hit 5.135%, driven by global inflationary fears and mixed earnings results from the US banking season.
Source: www.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o rendimento (yield) do título do Tesouro dos EUA de 10 anos atingir ou superar 5,40% em qualquer fechamento oficial até 31/12/2026, conforme publicado pelo U.S. Department of the Treasury (treasury.gov) ou pelo Google Finanças.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.