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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the combined monthly volume of Kalshi and Polymarket reach $35 billion by December 2026?

In September 2026, the combined monthly volume of Kalshi and Polymarket had risen from less than $5 billion to about $24 billion,… 38 opinions, 71% No

  • Yes — 29%
  • No — 71%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions

Resolution rules

In September 2026, the combined monthly volume of Kalshi and Polymarket had risen from less than $5 billion to about $24 billion, according to a recent Facebook post by Kalshi.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se relatório oficial ou comunicado de imprensa de Kalshi e/ou Polymarket, ou publicação verificável de veículo financeiro de referência (Bloomberg, Reuters, WSJ), confirmar volume mensal combinado igual ou superior a US$ 35 bilhões em qualquer mês até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.

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