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Science · Open for opinions

Will the unprecedented measurement of primordial helium from the Big Bang (0.5% precision, University of Minnesota/Large Binocular Telescope) be reproduced by an independent scientific team by March 2027?

In October 2026, scientists at the University of Minnesota measured the amount of helium formed in the first five minutes after the… 86 opinions, 83% No

  • Yes — 17%
  • No — 83%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 86 opinions

Resolution rules

In October 2026, scientists at the University of Minnesota measured the amount of helium formed in the first five minutes after the Big Bang with an unprecedented precision of 0.5%, using 130 hours of observation with the Large Binocular Telescope across 15 pristine galaxies. The result could test the Standard Model

Source: www.sciencedaily.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se até 31 de março de 2027 for publicado artigo peer-reviewed por equipe independente que replique ou corrobore a medição da abundância de hélio primordial com incerteza igual ou menor a 1%, utilizando metodologia distinta, indexado em base como PubMed ou arXiv com revisão formal.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 83% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 17 points, a wrong one costs about 83.

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