Finance · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Supreme Court agree to review the case on regulation of prediction markets (Kalshi and Polymarket)?
The 3rd Circuit Court of Appeals blocked New Jersey from enforcing sports betting laws against Kalshi, citing likely CFTC preemption. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The 3rd Circuit Court of Appeals blocked New Jersey from enforcing sports betting laws against Kalshi, citing likely CFTC preemption. A bipartisan group of states and the Supreme Court are monitoring the situation, making a SCOTUS review possible.
Source: mashable.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o SCOTUS emitir um writ of certiorari aceitando formalmente o caso envolvendo a jurisdição sobre plataformas de mercados de previsão (Kalshi ou Polymarket) até a data de fechamento. Fonte: SCOTUSblog ou comunicado oficial do SCOTUS.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.