Technology · Open for opinions
Will the US Congress pass a federal AI safety bill on the floor by October 31, 2026?
Considers legislative votes between 09/20 and 10/31 amid intensifying regulatory debate over artificial intelligence in the US. 42 opinions, 74% No
- Yes — 26%
- No — 74%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers legislative votes between 09/20 and 10/31 amid intensifying regulatory debate over artificial intelligence in the US.
Source: www.theverge.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 20/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Câmara dos Representantes ou o Senado dos EUA aprovar em plenário qualquer projeto de lei federal de regulação ou segurança de IA até 31/10/2026, conforme registro oficial em congress.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 74% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 26 points, a wrong one costs about 74.