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Will negotiations between the US and Iran result in a formal agreement by the end of 2026?

Negotiations between the US and Iran were on the radar of global financial markets on 09/30/2026, being pointed out as an impacting… 72 opinions, 75% No

  • Yes — 25%
  • No — 75%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions

Resolution rules

Negotiations between the US and Iran were on the radar of global financial markets on 09/30/2026, being pointed out as an impacting factor on oil prices and risk appetite in international stock exchanges.

Source: conteudos.xpi.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se um acordo diplomático formal entre EUA e Irã (incluindo, mas não limitado a, acordo nuclear) for publicamente anunciado e confirmado por ambos os governos até 31/12/2026, conforme noticiado por agências como Reuters, AP ou comunicados oficiais dos países.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.

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