Politics · Open for opinions
Will the regulatory conflict over prediction markets in the US reach the Supreme Court (SCOTUS) by February 2027?
Conflicting decisions from different federal courts on how the CFTC should regulate platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket increase… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Conflicting decisions from different federal courts on how the CFTC should regulate platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket increase the chance of the case reaching the Supreme Court.
Source: abc45.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Supremo Tribunal dos EUA (supremecourt.gov) registrar formalmente petição de certiorari aceita relacionada à regulação de mercados de previsão sob o Commodity Exchange Act envolvendo CFTC, Kalshi ou Polymarket até 2027-02-28. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.