Finance · Open for opinions
Will the cumulative IPCA for 2026 be within the inflation target set by the CMN (1.5% to 4.5%)?
The Central Bank maintains high interest rates with the argument of inflation control, with the fulfillment of the 2026 inflation… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Central Bank maintains high interest rates with the argument of inflation control, with the fulfillment of the 2026 inflation target being one of the main indicators of the current monetary policy outcome.
Source: www.cartacapital.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026 divulgado pelo IBGE ficar entre 1,5% e 4,5% (meta de 3% com banda de ±1,5% definida pelo CMN). Fonte: IBGE (ibge.gov.br) na divulgação do IPCA de dezembro de 2026, prevista para janeiro de 2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.