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Finance · Open for opinions

Bitcoin, Gold, or S&P 500: which asset will have the highest percentage return in 2026?

Polymarket actively lists the market 'Bitcoin vs. 21 opinions, 33% Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin (BTC) — 33%
  • Gold — 33%
  • S&P 500 (SPY) — 33%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

Polymarket actively lists the market 'Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026', indicating great public interest in comparing the performance of these three assets over the year.

Source: polymarket.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Comparar o retorno percentual dos três ativos de 01/01/2026 a 31/12/2026. Fontes: preço de fechamento do BTC pelo CoinMarketCap, ouro pelo SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) e S&P 500 pelo ETF SPY (Bloomberg/Yahoo Finance). Vence o ativo com maior variação percentual positiva no período.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Bitcoin (BTC) has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.

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