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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab be at least 1.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026?

If the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab is at least 1.8… 78 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: November 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

If the number of Florida mail ballots returned for the 2026 general election as reported by the UF Election Lab is at least 1.8 million at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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