Technology · Open for opinions
Will OpenAI release a new major language model (GPT-5 or equivalent) by December 31, 2026?
AI-focused sources closely track releases from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and other major labs. 42 opinions, 71% Yes
- Yes — 71%
- No — 29%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
AI-focused sources closely track releases from OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and other major labs. The major model release cycle has accelerated in 2026, making this a high-relevance event for the tech community.
Source: aitoolsrecap.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a OpenAI publicar anúncio oficial em openai.com confirmando a disponibilidade geral de um novo modelo flagship (identificado como GPT-5 ou nome equivalente de próxima geração) até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.