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Politics · Open for opinions

Will Trump declare an election emergency?

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States… 78 opinions, 54% Before Sep 1, 2026

  • Before Sep 1, 2026 — 54%
  • Before Nov 4, 2026 — 12%
  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — 35%

Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action declaring a national emergency regarding the 2026 United States midterm election before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Source: kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

A verifiable fact decides the outcome, such as a final score, a price or an official announcement. Once it happens, the event is marked as resolved and the correct option is shown on this page.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Before Sep 1, 2026 has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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