Finance · Open for opinions
Which platform will lead in US prediction market volume in February 2027?
In September 2026, Kalshi holds 96% of the $10 billion US market volume, reversing the lead Polymarket held about a year ago. 36 opinions, 72% Kalshi
- Kalshi — 72%
- Polymarket — 22%
- Other platform — 6%
Deadline: March 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 36 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, Kalshi holds 96% of the $10 billion US market volume, reversing the lead Polymarket held about a year ago. Competition between the two platforms is intense and could shift with new products or regulatory decisions.
Source: x.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base em relatórios públicos de volume (divulgados pelas plataformas, cobertura de mídia especializada como Wired, Bloomberg ou Reuters) referentes ao mês de fevereiro de 2027. A opção com maior volume absoluto de contratos negociados no período é declarada vencedora.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Kalshi has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.