World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the US benchmark interest rate before the end of 2026?
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated that price stability is a priority but avoided signaling future moves. 82 opinions, 62% Yes
- Yes — 62%
- No — 38%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh stated that price stability is a priority but avoided signaling future moves. High inflation and rising Treasury yields have increased bets on a rate hike. The next relevant FOMC meeting is scheduled for November/December 2026.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base na decisão oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Se houver aumento formal da taxa dos Fed Funds anunciado em reunião do FOMC até 31/12/2026, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Fed (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.