World · Open for opinions
Will US PCE inflation (annual change) exceed 3.8% in the October 2026 data?
PCE accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by more expensive gasoline due to the conflict in the Middle… 88 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: December 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
PCE accelerated from 3.4% in August to 3.6% in September 2026, driven by more expensive gasoline due to the conflict in the Middle East and the war with Iran, with pressures spreading to services such as freight, hospitality and utilities.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no índice PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) dos EUA referente a outubro de 2026. Se a variação anual publicada for superior a 3,8%, resolve 'Sim'. Fonte: bea.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.