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Will the Federal Reserve keep the interest rate unchanged at its October/November 2026 meeting?

The Fed met in Washington on October 26, 2026, and is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%–4.00%, despite… 89 opinions, 81% Yes

  • Yes — 81%
  • No — 19%

Deadline: November 5, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

The Fed met in Washington on October 26, 2026, and is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75%–4.00%, despite higher-than-expected inflation readings. Leaders have signaled a willingness to wait for more data before acting.

Source: www.thedailystar.net

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve divulgado ao término da reunião do FOMC de outubro/novembro de 2026. Se a taxa dos Fed Funds permanecer na faixa de 3,75%–4,00%, resolve 'Sim'; qualquer alteração resolve 'Não'. Fonte: comunicado oficial em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 81% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 19 points, a wrong one costs about 81.

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