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Will the US October 2026 jobs report reach at least 65,000 new jobs created?

Analysts expected US job creation to more than double in October 2026, reaching 65,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate would… 88 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

Analysts expected US job creation to more than double in October 2026, reaching 65,000 jobs, while the unemployment rate would remain at 4.2%. The data is awaited and could influence the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decisions.

Source: www.swissinfo.ch

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no relatório mensal de emprego do Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) dos EUA referente a outubro de 2026, publicado oficialmente pelo BLS. Se o número de empregos não agrícolas criados for igual ou superior a 65.000, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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Will the US October 2026 jobs report reach at least 65,000 new jobs… — 55% Yes · VoxFi