Finance · Open for opinions
Will gold (XAUUSD) reach $4,500 by the end of December 2026?
Market on Polymarket already prices in a 99% probability of gold reaching $4,500 by December 2026, with over $1 million in traded… 21 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Market on Polymarket already prices in a 99% probability of gold reaching $4,500 by December 2026, with over $1 million in traded volume and $414k in liquidity.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o preço spot do ouro (XAUUSD) fechar em ou acima de US$ 4.500 em qualquer sessão até 31/12/2026, conforme dados da Bloomberg ou Reuters.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.