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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the National Treasury complete without cancellation the scheduled NTN-B auctions in the so-called 'R$ 275 billion fire test' by October 31, 2026?

With NTN-B falling, the National Treasury faces what analysts call a 'R$ 275 billion fire test' to verify whether the market will… 26 opinions, 54% Yes

  • Yes — 54%
  • No — 46%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions

Resolution rules

With NTN-B falling, the National Treasury faces what analysts call a 'R$ 275 billion fire test' to verify whether the market will finance the government amid the spiral of political-institutional events involving the STF and the Master Case, according to NeoFeed.

Source: neofeed.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução 'Sim' se o Tesouro Nacional publicar em seu site oficial (tesourodireto.fazenda.gov.br ou tesouro.fazenda.gov.br) a conclusão dos leilões de NTN-B referentes ao volume de R$ 275 bilhões sem cancelamento formal até 31/10/2026. Resolução 'Não' em caso de cancelamento, adiamento ou colocação inferior a 70% do volume anunciado nos leilões do período.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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