Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at the October 2026 monetary policy meeting?
Fed officials pointed to the AI investment boom and supply shocks as the main drivers of inflationary pressure. 82 opinions, 68% No
- Yes — 32%
- No — 68%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed officials pointed to the AI investment boom and supply shocks as the main drivers of inflationary pressure. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh signaled caution, indicating that AI investment acts as a demand and price shock — which could delay rate cuts.
Source: www.investmentnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar redução na taxa dos Fed Funds na reunião de outubro de 2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve publicado em federalreserve.gov após a decisão.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.