Finance · Open for opinions
Will the median Focus Bulletin projection for the 2026 IPCA fall below 3.80% by 10/31/2026?
Consider the projections released weekly by the Central Bank in the Focus Bulletin between 09/16 and 10/31. 36 opinions, 56% No
- Yes — 44%
- No — 56%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 36 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the projections released weekly by the Central Bank in the Focus Bulletin between 09/16 and 10/31.
Source: www.suno.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 16/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se a projeção mediana do IPCA para o ano de 2026 divulgada em qualquer relatório semanal 'Boletim Focus' neste período for estritamente inferior a 3,80%, conforme dados oficiais publicados no site do Banco Central do Brasil (BCB). Caso a projeção permaneça igual ou superior a 3,80% em todas as divulgações da janela, ou se não houver relatórios, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.