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Finance · Open for opinions

Will cumulative federal tax revenues from January to October 2026 record real growth above 5% compared to the same period in 2025?

In September 2026, federal tax collection grew by 5.62% in real terms, totaling R$ 239.4 billion, according to Agência Brasil. 82 opinions, 62% Yes

  • Yes — 62%
  • No — 38%

Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 82 opinions

Resolution rules

In September 2026, federal tax collection grew by 5.62% in real terms, totaling R$ 239.4 billion, according to Agência Brasil.

Source: agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve Sim se dados oficiais da Receita Federal mostrarem crescimento real (descontado o IPCA) da arrecadação bruta federal acumulada de janeiro a outubro de 2026 superior a 5% frente ao mesmo período de 2025. Fonte: nota de imprensa da Receita Federal, prevista para novembro de 2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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