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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate at its December 2026 meeting?

The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at around 3.9% at its latest meeting, despite persistent inflation. 89 opinions, 75% No

  • Yes — 25%
  • No — 75%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at around 3.9% at its latest meeting, despite persistent inflation. The PCE index accelerated to 3.6% per year in September 2026, with prices rising 0.5% in the month, the largest jump since May, making it difficult to open room for cuts.

Source: www.pbs.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Decisão anunciada pelo Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) em comunicado oficial publicado em federalreserve.gov após a reunião de dezembro de 2026. O mercado resolve 'Sim' se a taxa dos Fed Funds for reduzida em relação ao nível atual de aproximadamente 3,9%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.

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Will the Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate at its… — 75% No · VoxFi