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What will be the FOMC's decision at the next US monetary policy meeting (September/October 2026)?

Kevin Warsh indicated that the Fed is considering a rate hike if inflation does not retreat fast enough toward the 2% target,… 21 opinions, 33% Rate hike

  • Rate hike — 33%
  • Rate hold — 33%
  • Rate cut — 33%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

Kevin Warsh indicated that the Fed is considering a rate hike if inflation does not retreat fast enough toward the 2% target, without giving explicit forward guidance.

Source: www.wavy.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada no comunicado oficial do FOMC divulgado em federalreserve.gov após a reunião. Considera-se a variação da taxa alvo dos fed funds em relação ao nível vigente em 29/08/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Rate hike has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.

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