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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at the October/November 2026 meeting?

US inflation rose to 3.7% in October 2026, driven by fuel prices. 84 opinions, 74% No

  • Yes — 26%
  • No — 74%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 84 opinions

Resolution rules

US inflation rose to 3.7% in October 2026, driven by fuel prices. The data reignited the debate over the Fed's next move, with analysts divided between cutting and holding the rate amid persistent inflationary pressures.

Source: www.youtube.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar redução na taxa dos Fed Funds na reunião do FOMC de outubro ou novembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Resolve como 'Não' se o Fed mantiver ou elevar a taxa.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 74% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 26 points, a wrong one costs about 74.

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