Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi appeal to the US Supreme Court against the decision allowing states to regulate prediction markets?
On September 25, 2026, a US appeals court ruled that states can regulate prediction markets, going against Kalshi. 71 opinions, 56% Yes
- Yes — 56%
- No — 44%
Deadline: March 26, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
On September 25, 2026, a US appeals court ruled that states can regulate prediction markets, going against Kalshi. Twenty states are in active litigation on the issue, and the Trump administration supported Kalshi and Polymarket in this dispute. Companies defeated in appeals courts often
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se a Kalshi protocolar pedido de certiorari (recurso) ao Supremo Tribunal dos EUA (supremecourt.gov) contestando a decisão do tribunal de apelações até 26 de março de 2027, conforme registros públicos do tribunal ou comunicado oficial da empresa. Caso contrário, resolvido como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.