Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket exceed US$30 billion by the end of 2026?
According to recent data, the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket jumped from less than US$5 billion to about US$24 billion in… 26 opinions, 58% Yes
- Yes — 58%
- No — 42%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 26 opinions
Resolution rules
According to recent data, the combined volume of Kalshi and Polymarket jumped from less than US$5 billion to about US$24 billion in less than a year, indicating accelerated growth in the prediction markets sector.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se fontes jornalísticas de referência (Bloomberg, Reuters, Business Insider) ou relatórios oficiais das próprias plataformas confirmarem que o volume combinado de Kalshi e Polymarket atingiu ou superou US$ 30 bilhões acumulados até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.