Science · Open for opinions
Will the IERS schedule a negative leap second by 10/31/2026?
Recent studies point to changes in Earth's rotation caused by movements in the planet's core. 70 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
Recent studies point to changes in Earth's rotation caused by movements in the planet's core.
Source: www.nature.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 25/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS) publicar em boletim oficial a determinação de um segundo bissexto negativo até 31/10/2026, conforme registrado em iers.org. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.