Politics · Open for opinions
Will nationwide abstention in the first round of the 2026 Presidential Election exceed 21.5%?
Measures civil turnout for the first presidential round in October. 40 opinions, 51% Yes
- Yes — 51%
- No — 49%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 40 opinions
Resolution rules
Measures civil turnout for the first presidential round in October.
Source: g1.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice final de abstenção em todo o Brasil (eleitores aptos faltantes) no primeiro turno (04/10/2026) for superior a 21,50%. O percentual que define o resultado será o disponibilizado pelo portal 'Estatísticas Eleitorais' ou pela plataforma 'Resultados' do Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) para o cargo de Presidente, considerando casas decimais apuradas oficialmente. A apuração vai até 31/10/2026. Se a abstenção fechar o balanço em valor igual ou inferior, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 51% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 49 points, a wrong one costs about 51.