Science · Open for opinions
Will any station in Southern Brazil record 500 mm or more of rain in October 2026?
Consider accumulated precipitation measured by official agencies between 10/02 and 10/31 after an extreme rain alert in the South. 76 opinions, 61% Yes
- Yes — 61%
- No — 39%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider accumulated precipitation measured by official agencies between 10/02 and 10/31 after an extreme rain alert in the South.
Source: metsul.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 02/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos uma estação meteorológica oficial do INMET ou do Cemaden nos estados do RS, SC ou PR registrar acumulado mensal igual ou superior a 500 mm até 31/10/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.