Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. Congress pass federal legislation regulating prediction market platforms (such as Kalshi and Polymarket) by December 31, 2026?
A furious political-legal battle intensified in August 2026 between prediction market platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket) and U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A furious political-legal battle intensified in August 2026 between prediction market platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket) and U.S. states, with 44 of the 50 state attorneys general, Native American tribes, consumer groups, and bipartisan members of Congress positioning themselves against es
Source: www.cnn.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se um projeto de lei federal regulamentando especificamente plataformas de mercados de previsão (prediction markets) for aprovado por ambas as casas do Congresso americano e sancionado pelo presidente até 31/12/2026, conforme registros oficiais do Congress.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.