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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the Public Security constitutional amendment (PEC) be approved in the Federal Senate by the end of 2026?

On October 31, 2026, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre scheduled the vote on the Public Security constitutional amendment (PEC). 88 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

On October 31, 2026, Senate President Davi Alcolumbre scheduled the vote on the Public Security constitutional amendment (PEC). This market resolves based on whether the vote takes place and results in approval within the deadline.

Source: agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução: Sim se o texto final da PEC da Segurança Pública for aprovado em votação no Plenário do Senado Federal até 31/12/2026, conforme registros oficiais do Senado (senado.leg.br). Não caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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Will the Public Security constitutional amendment (PEC) be approved… — 55% No · VoxFi