Science · Open for opinions
Will China (NMPA) issue new regulations for CAR-T clinical trials by October 31, 2026?
Consider regulatory measures announced by NMPA between 09/30 and 10/31 following the progress of clinical trials in China. 73 opinions, 60% No
- Yes — 40%
- No — 60%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 73 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider regulatory measures announced by NMPA between 09/30 and 10/31 following the progress of clinical trials in China.
Source: www.nature.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 30/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Administração Nacional de Produtos Médicos da China (NMPA) publicar novas diretrizes ou normativas oficiais para ensaios clínicos de terapias CAR-T até 31/10/2026, conforme divulgado no portal oficial da NMPA ou pela revista Nature. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.