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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the Ibovespa close higher on the first business day following the results of the 2026 presidential runoff?

Market analysts reacted with optimism to the first-round results, which placed Flávio Bolsonaro as the favorite for the runoff,… 76 opinions, 62% Yes

  • Yes — 62%
  • No — 38%

Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions

Resolution rules

Market analysts reacted with optimism to the first-round results, which placed Flávio Bolsonaro as the favorite for the runoff, according to the financial market.

Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no fechamento oficial do Ibovespa (B3) no primeiro pregão útil após a divulgação do resultado do segundo turno pelo TSE. 'Alta' significa variação percentual positiva em relação ao fechamento do pregão anterior.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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