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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil's GDP grow more than 2% in 2026?

After growing 3.4% in 2024 and 2.3% in 2025, Brazil's GDP is slowing down. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: March 10, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

After growing 3.4% in 2024 and 2.3% in 2025, Brazil's GDP is slowing down. Economists and market projections indicate a risk of growth below 2% in 2026.

Source: www.bbc.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na taxa de crescimento anual do PIB de 2026 divulgada pelo IBGE (Contas Nacionais Trimestrais). Considera-se 'Sim' se a variação acumulada em 2026 for superior a 2,0%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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