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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the US dollar close below R$ 5.20 on October 31, 2026?

The US dollar ended September 2026 at R$ 5.17, accumulating a 0.15% drop for the month, according to Agência Brasil. 74 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions

Resolution rules

The US dollar ended September 2026 at R$ 5.17, accumulating a 0.15% drop for the month, according to Agência Brasil. The post-electoral environment and fiscal trajectory will impact the exchange rate in October.

Source: agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na cotação de fechamento (PTAX de venda) do dólar americano divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) no dia 30 de outubro de 2026 (último dia útil do mês). Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a PTAX de venda for inferior a R$ 5,20.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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