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Will the IMF maintain or raise its global growth projection for 2026 in the full World Economic Outlook report?

On October 8, 2026, the IMF released a preview of the World Economic Outlook projecting global growth of 3.0% for 2026 and 3.4% for… 78 opinions, 78% Yes

  • Yes — 78%
  • No — 22%

Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

On October 8, 2026, the IMF released a preview of the World Economic Outlook projecting global growth of 3.0% for 2026 and 3.4% for 2027, amid war shocks and AI-driven demand. The full report has yet to be published.

Source: www.imf.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o relatório World Economic Outlook completo do FMI, publicado em imf.org, projetar crescimento global para 2026 igual ou superior a 3,0%. Resolve como 'Não' se a projeção for revisada para abaixo de 3,0%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.

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