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Will the US and Iran officially announce a ceasefire or formal diplomatic agreement before December 2026?

The prolonged conflict between the US and Iran pressures fuel prices and worsens global inflation, being a central factor of… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The prolonged conflict between the US and Iran pressures fuel prices and worsens global inflation, being a central factor of uncertainty for the American midterm elections and international markets.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Departamento de Estado dos EUA (state.gov) ou o Ministério das Relações Exteriores do Irã publicarem comunicado conjunto ou unilateral confirmando cessar-fogo ou início de negociações diplomáticas formais até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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