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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the US Dollar (USD/BRL) exceed R$ 5.50 at any closing until October 31, 2026?

On 09/15/2026, the dollar closed at R$ 5.15, with the Central Bank acting in the foreign exchange market. 35 opinions, 71% No

  • Yes — 29%
  • No — 71%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 35 opinions

Resolution rules

On 09/15/2026, the dollar closed at R$ 5.15, with the Central Bank acting in the foreign exchange market. Crisis in the STF and fiscal uncertainties are risk factors for the American currency.

Source: economia.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a taxa de câmbio USD/BRL de fechamento oficial divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (ptax de fechamento) registrar valor acima de R$ 5,50 em qualquer dia útil até 31/10/2026. Fonte: bcb.gov.br/estabilidadefinanceira/historicocotacoes.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.

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