Finance · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi successfully overturn in court the decision classifying prediction markets as regulated gambling?
An appeals court ruled against Kalshi, classifying prediction markets as subject to regulation as gambling. 71 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
An appeals court ruled against Kalshi, classifying prediction markets as subject to regulation as gambling. The Trump administration supports Kalshi and Polymarket in the litigation.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se um tribunal federal de apelações ou a Suprema Corte dos EUA emitir decisão favorável à Kalshi, reconhecendo que seus contratos de eventos não constituem apostas sujeitas à regulação estadual de jogos, até 31 de março de 2027. Fonte: decisão judicial pública nos registros do PACER ou comunicado oficial da CFTC.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.