Finance · Open for opinions
Will total volume in US election polls exceed $2 billion by 11/15/2024?
Traded volume reached $1.4 billion and the final stretch of the elections could accelerate predictions. 89 opinions, 72% No
- Yes — 28%
- No — 72%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
Traded volume reached $1.4 billion and the final stretch of the elections could accelerate predictions.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 01/11/20240 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 15/11/20240 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o volume acumulado somado de Kalshi e Polymarket em contratos eleitorais ultrapassar US$ 2 bilhões até 15/11/20240, conforme painéis das plataformas ou apuração da CNN ou Bloomberg. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.