Finance · Open for opinions
Will the federal government's primary result in 2026 stay within the tolerance band of the fiscal target established by the fiscal framework?
President Lula denied the existence of a 'fiscal bomb' in October 2026 and stated that financial market warnings about a fiscal… 81 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: April 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
President Lula denied the existence of a 'fiscal bomb' in October 2026 and stated that financial market warnings about a fiscal deficit aim to cover up Union transfers to the sector. The debate on meeting the target remains open.
Source: www.poder360.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no relatório oficial do Tesouro Nacional (tesouro.fazenda.gov.br) sobre o resultado primário do governo central referente ao exercício de 2026, publicado até abril de 2027. Considera-se 'Sim' se o resultado ficar dentro da banda de tolerância de ±0,25 p.p. do PIB em relação à meta primária fixada para 2026 pelo CMN/LDO.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.