Science · Open for opinions
Will 2026 be confirmed as the hottest year globally on record?
A study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), published on October 30, 2026, revealed that the rate of global… 88 opinions, 68% Yes
- Yes — 68%
- No — 32%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
A study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), published on October 30, 2026, revealed that the rate of global warming accelerated to about 0.35°C per decade over the past ten years—nearly double the average recorded between 1970 and 2015—with statistical confidence exceeding...
Source: www.sciencedaily.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se a OMM (Organização Meteorológica Mundial), NASA GISS ou NOAA publicar relatório oficial confirmando 2026 como o ano mais quente da história instrumental até 28 de fevereiro de 2027. Resolvido como 'Não' caso contrário ou se nenhuma dessas agências fizer tal afirmação até essa data.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.