Science · Open for opinions
Will the global average atmospheric CO₂ concentration recorded by NOAA exceed 430 ppm in the first quarter of 2027?
Updated data from NASA's OCO-2 and OCO-3 satellites, published in October 2026, provide the most complete record ever compiled of… 88 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: April 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
Updated data from NASA's OCO-2 and OCO-3 satellites, published in October 2026, provide the most complete record ever compiled of global atmospheric CO₂ from 2014 to the present, with over a million daily observations.
Source: eos.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a média mensal global de CO₂ publicada pelo NOAA (gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/) para qualquer mês do primeiro trimestre de 2027 (janeiro, fevereiro ou março) for igual ou superior a 430 ppm. Fonte oficial: NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.