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Science · Open for opinions

Will 2026 be classified as the hottest year on record by NASA or the World Meteorological Organization (WMO)?

Study published on October 30, 2026 confirmed that the global warming rate has accelerated to approximately 0.35°C per decade since… 88 opinions, 78% Yes

  • Yes — 78%
  • No — 22%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions

Resolution rules

Study published on October 30, 2026 confirmed that the global warming rate has accelerated to approximately 0.35°C per decade since 2015, nearly double the average pace from 1970–2015, with statistical confidence greater than 98%.

Source: www.sciencedaily.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se a NASA/GISS ou a Organização Meteorológica Mundial (OMM/WMO) publicar relatório oficial confirmando 2026 como o ano mais quente em seus registros históricos. Fonte primária: relatório anual de temperatura global da NASA GISS (data.giss.nasa.gov) ou boletim anual de clima da WMO, a ser divulgado até 31 de março de 2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.

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