Science · Open for opinions
Will NASA's OCO-2/OCO-3 satellites confirm an annual global atmospheric CO2 average above 425 ppm for the year 2026?
Updates to the processing algorithms of OCO-2 and OCO-3 have allowed for the compilation of an improved global atmospheric CO2… 88 opinions, 65% Yes
- Yes — 65%
- No — 35%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
Updates to the processing algorithms of OCO-2 and OCO-3 have allowed for the compilation of an improved global atmospheric CO2 record from September 2014 to the present. The new data feature better calibration and greater agreement with ground-based instruments.
Source: eos.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Mercado resolvido como 'Sim' se os dados oficiais publicados pela NASA/JPL referentes ao OCO-2 ou OCO-3 (disponíveis em occo3.jpl.nasa.gov ou similar) registrarem média anual de CO₂ atmosférico global superior a 425 ppm para 2026. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário. Utilizar o conjunto de dados atualizado com o novo algoritmo de processamento mencionado na fonte.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.