Science · Open for opinions
Will the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) confirm 2026 as the hottest year on record?
A new study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research indicates that the rate of global warming has accelerated to about… 88 opinions, 70% Yes
- Yes — 70%
- No — 30%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 88 opinions
Resolution rules
A new study by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research indicates that the rate of global warming has accelerated to about 0.35°C per decade since 2015, almost double the rate recorded between 1970 and 2015, with 98% statistical confidence.
Source: www.sciencedaily.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a OMM (wmo.int) publicar relatório oficial até 31/03/2027 confirmando 2026 como o ano de maior temperatura média global já registrado. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.